The diversification by country of my portfolio

In this post I will make an analysis of the diversification by country of my share portfolio. I will compare my diversification by country with the MSCI World Index just as when I made an analysis of the diversification per sector of my portfolio.

The breakdown per country of my portfolio

In the table below you can see the diversification per country of my portfolio:

Summary:

  • I’m overweighted in The Netherlands
  • I’m underweighted in The USA
  • I’m lacking exposure in Japan
  • Other countries have a deviation smaller than 5% versus the World Index
  • The Netherlands

    Shares from The Netherlands are 22,4% of my portfolio. In the MSCI World Index The Netherlands is 1,2%. The Netherlands is my home country so it’s easy for me to get enough information about Dutch companies and decide if I consider them good potential investments. The Netherlands is also the home country for many international companies.

    I have Royal Dutch Shell, ASML Lithography, Unilever and Aegon in my portfolio listed as companies from The Netherlands, but the majority of their income comes from other countries than The Netherlands. Also I have the Think AEX ETF in my portfolio. This EFT is fully invested in Dutch stocks.

    I don’t mind being overinvested in The Netherlands, but now I compared the share of Dutch stocks in my portfolio versus the MSCI World Index, I think I should reduce the share of Dutch stocks in my portfolio. I could sell the ETF and refrain from investments in Dutch stocks until I consider the share more in balance.

    The United States

    The USA is 48,8% versus 61,7% in my portfolio. I always had the idea that I’m overweighted in the USA and decided to mainly buy euro stocks for the last months of 2018, but compared with the MSCI World Index I’m underweighted. I guess this is mainly the result of being overweighted in The Netherlands.

    The positive thing of this analysis is that I have a decent number of American companies high on my watchlist. The devil in my head saying that I’m overweighted in USA and that I should buy euro stocks I now silenced by looking at the MSCI World Index.

    Japan

    I don’t have any stocks from Japan and Japan forms 8,4% of the MSCI World Index. I don’t see myself buying any Japanese stocks anytime soon. I simply don’t have enough knowledge to pick quality Japanese stocks. Softbank is top of mind as a big investor in Tech companies, but having just one company top of mind is not a solid basis to my investment decissions.

    I probably take it for granted that I’m not invested in Japan.

    Conclusion

    For the next year I will focus on slowly reducing the exposure in The Netherlands and I will add some more American stocks.

    The diversification by sector of my portfolio

    Earlier this month when writing my post about the 10 biggest positions in my stock portfolio I realised that maybe my portfolio isn’t as balanced as I thought. For this reason I decided to compare my portfolio with a world index and in this post I will start with looking at

    What Index did I select for the comparison?

    After doing some googling I decided to compare my portfolio with the MSCI World Index. The MSCI World Index has a broad exposure to a wide range of global companies within 23 developed countries. The MSCI World Index is only investing in developed countries so I’m still missing the emerging markets in my comparison, but I’m fine with that for now.

    Comparison of my portfolio per sector vs. MSCI World Index sectors

    Below is a table with the share in € in my portfolio per sector compared to the sector diversification of the stocks in the MSCI World Index.

    Summary:

  • I’m massively overweighted in Real Estate
  • Also moderately overweighted in other Consumer Defensive and Utilities
  • Underweighted in Technology, Financial Services and Consumer Cyclical
  • In general I’m overweighted in sectors with a well above average and steady dividend
  • I’m underweighted in sectors with a less steady dividend as cyclical sectors like industrials, technology, consumer cyclical and basic materials
  • Real Estate

    Real Estate did grow to 22% of my portfolio in 2018 vs only 2,9% in the MSCI World Index. At the begin of this year I have bought Real Estate Stocks various times due to a combination of decling prices as a result of the fear for rising interest rates.

    I increased my positions in Coresite Realty, Monmouth REIT, Simon Property Group, Wereldhave and WDP. I initiated a new position in Unibail-Rodamco (EPA:URW) to benefit from the pricedrop after they announced their bid for Westfield.

    I do believe that Real Estate stocks can take an above average share in a dividend portfolio, because in general Real Estate funds are good for a steady flow of dividend income, but I think in my portfolio the share of Real Estate is too high.

    I will reduce the share of Real Estate stocks in my portfolio by selling 1 or 2 positions or by simple not investing any further in Real Estate stocks until they share is well below 15%

    Consumer Defensive

    Consumer Defensive stocks are 14,2% of my portfolio versus 8,2% in the MSCI World Index. This is mainly due to investments in Unilever, Danone and Coca Cola. I’m fine with being overweighted in this sector. It are in general steady funds with a reliable dividend income which will not suffer to much in times of crisis.

    Technology

    Technology is underweighted in my portfolio. Often Technology funds are not paying dividend or they have a low dividend yield. In my portfolio 3 largest technology shares are Apple, Alphabet and Facebook.

    I’m planning to increase the weighting of Technology shares in my portfolio by buying for example shares as Tencent (TCEHY) or NXP (NXPI), etc.

    Financial Services

    I’m underweighted in this sector. My biggest positions are Aegon, Flow Traders and Royal Bank of Canada. Companies in this sector often have a decent dividend, but last few years I not often invested in banks or insurance companies due to the low interest which often results in low margins for Banks and Insurance companies.

    I probably keep this share of the Financial sector steady in my portfolio.

    Utilities

    I’m at a share of 8,2% versus 3,0% in the MSCI World Index. I only have 3 Utilities stocks in my portfolio with Fortum, Dominion Energy and National Grid. Fortum (CPH:FORTUM) is up 70% since I purchased this stock and this had a big influence on the sales share of the Utilities sector. I’m fine with being overweighted in Utilities. It brings in nice and steady dividends.

    Consumer Cyclical

    I’m underweigted with a share of 6,8% in Consumer Cyclical shares versus 12,7% in the MSCI world index. I only have 3 Consumer Cyclical stocks in my portfolio: Amazon, McDonalds and LVMH. I wouldn’t mind increasing the sales share of this sector more in my portfolio, but I tend to invest in cyclical funds at times when the economy is in a recession.

    Other Sectors

    The sectors with a deviaton of less than 5% I don’t cover. I consider those deviations close enough to the index.

    Conclusion

    I want to reduce my exposure to Real Estate. Probably I will reduce the exposure by investing in Consumer Defensive and Technology shares and not by selling shares.

    I also should analyse every 6 months how the share of the various sectors in my portfolio is developing so I stay aware of how my portfolio is developing.

    How is your portfolio looking?

    I’m curious if I’m the only one how is overweighted in sectors like Real Estate, Utilities and Consumer Defensive stocks. Let me the biggest sectors in your portfolio so I can compare it and see if it’s fine for a dividend portfolio to have some extra exposure to these sectors.